Tag Archives: Victor Shih

The Belt and Road initiative: all roads lead to China (updated)

One of the major global initiatives by China was the massive Belt and Road Initiative, reviving the old silk roads. In May 2017 a major international conference showed what our experts were already expecting: now all roads lead to China. Even countries who suffered from difficult relations with China, including both Koreas, appeared in Beijing.Larger than the former Marshall Plan after the Second World War, OBOR is going to redefine global trade.

Why China’s ‘nuclear options’ might not work – Victor Shih

Devaluating the Yuan and dumping US treasuries regular pop up as ‘nuclear options’ China has in its trade war with the US. Financial and political analyst Victor Shih explains why that might be a wrong idea. “These options are not credible, because they conflict with other important policy objectives of China,” he writes at the China File.

How China miscalculated Trump – Victor Shih

China’s leadership is still trying to figure out how to deal with US president Donald Trump. Making sense out of Trump has been harder than expected, says political analyst Victor Shih, author of Factions and Finance in China. in an extensive interview in the New Yorker.

Financial experts at the China Speakers Bureau (updated)

Now a massive row of Chinese companies, including Alibaba, are preparing for IPO´s, both at home at abroad, insights in China´s financial industry are more important than ever,

The government wants to allow market forces to decide what financial direction the country is taking, and because more than even capital is owned by Chinese citizens, just looking at what the central government in Beijing is doing, is not longer good enough.

China inflated its credit bubble, again – Victor Shih

In its fight against an economic slowdown, China has opened the bank vaults again and pumped more credit into its financial systems, again, says political analyst Victor Shih, author of Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation to the New York Times. It is an old solution in a country where debts are already at dangerous levels, he says.

Tianjin, China’s Manhattan: builds on political goodwill – Victor Shih

Yujiapu, Tianjin’s financial district, is building China’s Manhattan, with loans since most inhabitants still have to arrive. That goes well, says financial analyst Victor Shih, as long as the project has the political goodwill in Beijing to subscribe giants loans, he tells in the New York Times.

Foreign investment law: no big changes – Victor Shih

China brought the newly adopted foreign investment law with some fanfare, but political analyst Victor Shih does not expect the law will be a game changer, as some hope, he tells at the Deutsche Welle. A level playing field for foreign and domestic companies in China might be far away.

Strategy experts at the China Speakers Bureau (updated)

Making sense out of China has always been challenging, although the questions companies and people have to ask themselves change permanently. From a rather uregulated booming economy, now dealing we a tsunami of new rules, anti-corruption and a – relatively – slowing economy changes the strategic questions you have to deal with And while everybody has an opinion, at the China Speakers Bureau we are happy to have a range of expert opinions on China´s strategic challenges. We have a selection here (but you can always ask for more).

Devaluation yuan pondered amid trade war exchanges – Victor Shih

China’s financial institutions ponder on the pros and cons of a currency devaluation as the effects of the trade war with the US start to kick in. While devaluation is on the agenda, it would be a tricky road, says financial analyst Victor Shih, author of Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation, at CapitalWatch.

Trade war will lead to higher consumer prices – Victor Shih

Tariffs in the ongoing trade war are taxes, so it is unavoidable consumer prices will go up, says financial analyst Victor Shih, author of Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation, at The Point. Some increases might be taken by the distributors, and consumers are not yet worried because the US economy is now doing very well, Shih says. But that could change in the months to come when the effects of the trade war kick in.