Category Archives: trade deficit

NAFTA’s 2.0 China poison pill will not work – Harry Broadman

Former NAFTA negotiator Harry Broadman predicts in Forbes the new trade agreement between the US, Canada and Mexico might not work in the way president Donald Trump wants it to.

Foreign companies not ready to leave China – Arthur Kroeber

One of the purposes of Trump’s trade war is convincing US companies to leave China. But they are not yet ready to move, says economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know®, in the Channel News Asia. And when they move, they might before countries like Vietnam over the US, he adds.

Trade war will lead to higher consumer prices – Victor Shih

Tariffs in the ongoing trade war are taxes, so it is unavoidable consumer prices will go up, says financial analyst Victor Shih, author of Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation, at The Point. Some increases might be taken by the distributors, and consumers are not yet worried because the US economy is now doing very well, Shih says. But that could change in the months to come when the effects of the trade war kick in.

Currency devaluation: a tricky way to fight the trade war – Victor Shih

Devaluating the Chinese Yuan can be an attractive, but also dangerous way for China to deal with the effect of the ongoing trade war, says financial and political analyst Victor Shih, author of Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation to Reuters. ” It is likely that corruption is returning, which will undermine Chinese capital control measures.”

How the US is becoming nastier in the US-China trade war – Arthur Kroeber

Those who hope worst is over in the trade war the US is conducting against China might be very wrong, wrote economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know®, last week, according to Goldseek.com.

Trump focuses trade war on China – Arthur Kroeber

The new trade agreement between the US, Mexico, and Canada (USMCA)  excluded possible free-trade agreements between the three with China. Trump has its hands free to focus his trade war on China, says economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know®, at the South China Morning Post. 

Tariffs will hit US consumers – Sara Hsu

The trade war between the US and China has up to now mainly hit headlines, nervous traders and heated political debates, but there is no doubt consumers will feel the burnt too, says financial analyst Sara Hsu to Reuters. Moving away from China is mostly not an option, she says. “It can take up to five years to move from China to another country.”

What is next in the China-US trade war? – Arthur Kroeber

China is running out of steam in putting tariffs in US imports, but certainly not running out of options to fight the ongoing trade war, says economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know, to the South China Morning Post.

Trump wants US firms back from China – Arthur Kroeber

The focus has been on the Chinese government after US president Donald Trump announced new tariffs. But that might be wrong, says economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know to CNN. What Trump wants is not getting China into negotiations, but forcing US companies to come back to the US.

China’s banking system: walking on a tightrope – Sara Hsu

China’s financial authorities try to manage shadow banking, corporate leveraging and now also a heated trade war. Financial analyst Sara Hsu explains how the country’s banks are walking a scary tightrope, at the EastAsiaForum.