Category Archives: government

Currency devaluation: a tricky way to fight the trade war – Victor Shih

Devaluating the Chinese Yuan can be an attractive, but also dangerous way for China to deal with the effect of the ongoing trade war, says financial and political analyst Victor Shih, author of Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation to Reuters. ” It is likely that corruption is returning, which will undermine Chinese capital control measures.”

Trump focuses trade war on China – Arthur Kroeber

The new trade agreement between the US, Mexico, and Canada (USMCA)  excluded possible free-trade agreements between the three with China. Trump has its hands free to focus his trade war on China, says economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know®, at the South China Morning Post. 

Income tax reform: more spending or saving? – Sara Hsu

China has changed its income tax for the first time in seven years, beneficial for the lower income groups, and less for the high earner. Financial analyst Sara Hsu discusses the purpose: more spending might be a motive, but as aging and health care costs loom, many might opt for saving, she says at CGTN.

Tariffs will hit US consumers – Sara Hsu

The trade war between the US and China has up to now mainly hit headlines, nervous traders and heated political debates, but there is no doubt consumers will feel the burnt too, says financial analyst Sara Hsu to Reuters. Moving away from China is mostly not an option, she says. “It can take up to five years to move from China to another country.”

The trouble of being a celebrity in China – Shaun Rein

The disappearance of famous movie star Fan Bingbing now three months ago has kept many guessing for the reasons behind it. Being a celebrity in China has some extra risks, explains business analyst Shaun Rein, author of The War for China’s Wallet: Profiting from the New World Order, for AP.  “There’s a greater risk for celebrities to get in trouble with the law and never be able to get a chance at redemption.”

Trump wants US firms back from China – Arthur Kroeber

The focus has been on the Chinese government after US president Donald Trump announced new tariffs. But that might be wrong, says economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know to CNN. What Trump wants is not getting China into negotiations, but forcing US companies to come back to the US.

China’s banking system: walking on a tightrope – Sara Hsu

China’s financial authorities try to manage shadow banking, corporate leveraging and now also a heated trade war. Financial analyst Sara Hsu explains how the country’s banks are walking a scary tightrope, at the EastAsiaForum.

What if gambling takes off in Hainan? – Sara Hsu

The debate is taking off on whether China would allow gambling on Hainan Island. Financial analyst Sara Hsu explains gambling would diversify the tourism industry on the island, but would also hurt the economy in nearby Macau. Two earlier efforts on Hainan were already aborted for political reasons.

Why US firms cannot just leave China – Arthur Kroeber

The argument of the Trump administration is simple: if you want to avoid tariffs, leave China and come back to the US. That is too simple, says economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know, at the Asia Times.

Macau casino’s: a legitimate target in the trade war – Shaun Rein

Not only commodities like soybeans and caviar can be hit by tariffs in the ongoing trade war, China has many more potential targets, like the US casino’s in Macau, says business analyst Shaun Rein, author of The War for China’s Wallet: Profiting from the New World Order, at Onlinepoker.net.