Devaluating the Yuan and dumping US treasuries regular pop up as ‘nuclear options’ China has in its trade war with the US. Financial and political analyst Victor Shih explains why that might be a wrong idea. “These options are not credible, because they conflict with other important policy objectives of China,” he writes at the China File.
Category Archives: government
China has been checking its weaponry for the ongoing trade war and stopping the export of rare earths has been one of them. But China will have to be very selective in using this weapon, otherwise it might hurt itself more than the US, says economist Arthur Kroeber, according to CBS.
China’s Belt&Road Initiative (BRI) has been praised and criticized extensively, as the massive investment program moves on. The main problem of BRI is that it fell short of the Chinese characteristics that other foreign investment initiatives characterized, says investment analyst Harry Broadman in a column in the Financial Times.
The markets have given up trying to make sense out of the direction of the trade war between China and the US is taking. Economist Arthur Kroeber sees three possible scenario’s for the conflict but is hesitant to pick one, he says in Barron’s.
After decades of promises for China’s economic and financial opening up, foreign companies have been careful before they start cheering. But veteran economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know®, optimistic about the latest changes, he tells in an interview for the China Daily.
The main reason for the current tech winter in China was the flush of money that has hit the industry, especially by the government, says VC veteran William Bao Bean to the BBC. A re-structuring of China’s start-ups’ scene is long overdue and that is good news for investors, he argues.
US-president Donald Trump gave the financial market a hit this week by announcing a sudden increase of tariffs on Chinese goods, but veteran economist Arthur Kroeber still believes a trade deal could be done next month, he tells Bloomberg.
The trade talks between China and the US might be moving into the right direction, but tensions on other issues are abundant, for example on US demands to stop importing oil from Iran. Professor Sara Hsu explains why China will not comply with the demands of the US.
One hundred years ago students protested in Beijing for patriotism and democracy. President Xi Jinping has jumped on the centennial anniversary by praising the patriotism of the May Fourth protests. Commentator Zhang Lijia notes that he ignored that democracy was an inherent part of its legacy, she writes in the South China Morning Post.
For the outside world, Xi Jinping looks like the effective authoritarian leader, killing effectively public debate in the country. But journalist Ian Johnson noted over the past few months an amazing growth of opposition inside the Party, he writes in the NY Review of Books.