China’s financial institutions ponder on the pros and cons of a currency devaluation as the effects of the trade war with the US start to kick in. While devaluation is on the agenda, it would be a tricky road, says financial analyst Victor Shih, author of Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation, at CapitalWatch.
Category Archives: finance
Rupert Hoogewerf, the publisher of the Hurun China rich list and leading voice on China’s wealthy, has been appointed at the Durham University Business School as a professor of practice, reports the BDaily.
Investors in Chinese equity know from the past they have put their money on a roller-coaster. But the recent drop is very rough, and – says financial analyst Sara Hsu to the ChinaUSFocus, the drop is worse because much stock has been used as collateral for loans.
China’s Renminbi is not coming close to the US dollar as the world’s reserve currency, says business analyst Wang Haiyan to Money Talks. Even though more trade is done in the Chinese currency, the US dollar is still dominant. China cannot expect export to save its economy but relies on domestic consumption. But that transition is not going overnight, Wang adds.
Renowned investor Jim Rogers sold his US stocks and changed them for Chinese equities, he told at Yicai Global. For him, the Belt and Road initiative fits into his optimistic view on China’ economy, he adds.
One of the purposes of Trump’s trade war is convincing US companies to leave China. But they are not yet ready to move, says economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know®, in the Channel News Asia. And when they move, they might before countries like Vietnam over the US, he adds.
Tariffs in the ongoing trade war are taxes, so it is unavoidable consumer prices will go up, says financial analyst Victor Shih, author of Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation, at The Point. Some increases might be taken by the distributors, and consumers are not yet worried because the US economy is now doing very well, Shih says. But that could change in the months to come when the effects of the trade war kick in.
Devaluating the Chinese Yuan can be an attractive, but also dangerous way for China to deal with the effect of the ongoing trade war, says financial and political analyst Victor Shih, author of Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation to Reuters. ” It is likely that corruption is returning, which will undermine Chinese capital control measures.”
Registering offshore, through so-called VIE’s or variable interest entities, is more popular than ever for Chinese companies, even though the Chinese government tries to stop this circumventing trick. Tencent Music Entertainment was the last one to use it for its IPO and get away with it because investors seldom read the disclosure, says Paul Gillis, accounting professor at the Peking University, at the Nikkei Asian Review. And for good reasons.