Tariffs in the ongoing trade war are taxes, so it is unavoidable consumer prices will go up, says financial analyst Victor Shih, author of Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation, at The Point. Some increases might be taken by the distributors, and consumers are not yet worried because the US economy is now doing very well, Shih says. But that could change in the months to come when the effects of the trade war kick in.
Category Archives: economy
Devaluating the Chinese Yuan can be an attractive, but also dangerous way for China to deal with the effect of the ongoing trade war, says financial and political analyst Victor Shih, author of Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation to Reuters. ” It is likely that corruption is returning, which will undermine Chinese capital control measures.”
For investors the prospects for North-Korea are similar to China in 1978, says superinvestor Jim Rogers, author of Street Smarts: Adventures on the Road and in the Markets, according to the Korean medium Hankyoreh. “If North Korea introduces reforms and openness, it will achieve rapid economic growth in the double digits or higher.”
China’s financial authorities try to manage shadow banking, corporate leveraging and now also a heated trade war. Financial analyst Sara Hsu explains how the country’s banks are walking a scary tightrope, at the EastAsiaForum.
The argument of the Trump administration is simple: if you want to avoid tariffs, leave China and come back to the US. That is too simple, says economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know, at the Asia Times.
Media are looking for winners and losers in the trade war between China and the US, and while damage can be inflicted in the short run, China is going to outlast an economic war with the US, says renowned economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know to Money Week.
China has promised to open up its markets for foreign players, but most car makers keep up lining up for domestic partners. For good reasons, says London-based lawyer Mark Schaub, since domestic partners still have huge advantages, he tells in Bloomberg.
Emerging markets have turned around the traditional view on the product lifecycle, as multinational knew them, argues Harry Broadman in his speech on innovation and entrepreneurship. No longer is the US the birth ground of new ideas, who then spread to emerging economy, but innovation from emerging countries conquer the world in its own right.
If the current plans for impose 25% US tariffs on Chinese import are really executed, they will cause damage to China’s economy, says economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know, says at CNBC. But it is unlikely the trade war will derail the long-term reform plans, he adds.
The developing trade war between China and the US focuses on tariffs for commodities, while China could hurt the US really nasty by deploying its consumer power by boycotting products, tourism and US-related education. Political analyst Victor Shih, author of Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation, explains in Bloomberg why China has not done so.