Chinese media got orders to avoid bad news on the economy, but according to financial analyst Sara Hsu, signs indicate that China is unofficially in a recession. Spending has gone down despite encouragement from the government to spend more.
Category Archives: economy
The number of wealthy families on Greater China has grown in 2017, but growth is dropping and might even be lower in 2018 caused by the trade war and declining economic growth, says Rupert Hoogewerf, chairman of the Hurun China Rich List according to Barrons in a new report released this week.
China’s Renminbi is not coming close to the US dollar as the world’s reserve currency, says business analyst Wang Haiyan to Money Talks. Even though more trade is done in the Chinese currency, the US dollar is still dominant. China cannot expect export to save its economy but relies on domestic consumption. But that transition is not going overnight, Wang adds.
Renowned investor Jim Rogers sold his US stocks and changed them for Chinese equities, he told at Yicai Global. For him, the Belt and Road initiative fits into his optimistic view on China’ economy, he adds.
Former NAFTA negotiator Harry Broadman predicts in Forbes the new trade agreement between the US, Canada and Mexico might not work in the way president Donald Trump wants it to.
One of the purposes of Trump’s trade war is convincing US companies to leave China. But they are not yet ready to move, says economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know®, in the Channel News Asia. And when they move, they might before countries like Vietnam over the US, he adds.
Tariffs in the ongoing trade war are taxes, so it is unavoidable consumer prices will go up, says financial analyst Victor Shih, author of Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation, at The Point. Some increases might be taken by the distributors, and consumers are not yet worried because the US economy is now doing very well, Shih says. But that could change in the months to come when the effects of the trade war kick in.