Category Archives: economy

How China miscalculated Trump – Victor Shih

China’s leadership is still trying to figure out how to deal with US president Donald Trump. Making sense out of Trump has been harder than expected, says political analyst Victor Shih, author of Factions and Finance in China. in an extensive interview in the New Yorker.

China’s new opening up helps foreign companies – Arthur Kroeber

After decades of promises for China’s economic and financial opening up, foreign companies have been careful before they start cheering. But veteran economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know®, optimistic about the latest changes, he tells in an interview for the China Daily.

Trade war has cost the US companies dearly – Sara Hsu

Financial analyst Sara Hsu adds up the costs the trade war has cost US companies in their business with China. While moving to other countries proved to be hard, direct costs of importing goods from China to the US have risen, and shares have dropped, she tells on het vlog China Rising.

The odds are still in favor of a trade agreement – Arthur Kroeber

US-president Donald Trump gave the financial market a hit this week by announcing a sudden increase of tariffs on Chinese goods, but veteran economist Arthur Kroeber still believes a trade deal could be done next month, he tells Bloomberg.

Lessons from boom and bust in China – Jim Rogers

Renowned investor Jim Rogers learned from the China market 23 years ago in a painful boom-and-bust cycle. Now he is bullish on China, but shares a few tough lessons he learned in those early days, he will not forget, he writes in the Daily Wealth.

China inflated its credit bubble, again – Victor Shih

In its fight against an economic slowdown, China has opened the bank vaults again and pumped more credit into its financial systems, again, says political analyst Victor Shih, author of Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation to the New York Times. It is an old solution in a country where debts are already at dangerous levels, he says.

Is shadow banking back in grace? – Sara Hsu

After a lengthy crackdown on shadow banking, this risky financial tool seems to be back in grace as China’s economy is slowing down. It is the pragmatic way China’s financial authorities deal with the economy, financial analyst Sara Hsu says. Shadow banking will be allowed, as long as it works, she writes in China Focus.

Why the trade talks help foreign companies in China only marginally – Mark Schaub

US President Donald Trump describes the upcoming deal between China and the US to end the trade war as “comprehensive”. China veteran Mark Schaub sees only marginal changes and certainly disagrees with a report in Bloomberg saying that most foreign companies can now work without joint ventures. Most companies can and do so since the 1980s, he tells at the BBC. And he assumes that in industries where foreign investments are tough, like publishing, telecom, and education, changes will not be sensational, he tells at the BBC.

New optimism hits China’s economy – Ashley Dudarenok

China veteran Ashley Dudarenok notices an upswing in the mood about China’s economy, she tells in her daily vlog. Prospects for the trade agreement between China and the US look good. Financial reforms, including a reduction of the VAT is in the pipeline, and president Xi Jinping supports more than ever private companies. 

Harry Broadman joins Berkeley Research Group

Harry Broadman has joined the global consulting Berkeley Research Group as a managing director and will be leading the new Emerging Marketing Practise. He will remain in Washington DC.