China faces a financial dilemma, as it wants economic growth, and forces local governments to borrow more money, against the wishes of the central government, says financial and political analyst Victor Shih in the CeMEAS Conversations on China’s economic future. But external threats to the country’s stability do exist, he adds.
Category Archives: debts
President Xi Jinping has promised more financial reforms, but financial analyst Sara Hsu says managing risk is key, over the need for reform. Fintech, debts and due diligence are some themes in the next five years of China’s financial development, she adds at the state broadcaster CGTN.
Debt levels and slower GDP growth are China not pushing into a financial crisis, as some experts want us to believe, says renowned economist Arthur Kroeber in the South China Morning Post. ““There is a double standard at work here, where people have invented the concept of productivity of credit to say bad stuff about China.”
Financial scams are emerging in China on an epidemic scale. Rising costs of living have enticed many to join these scams, says Victor Shih, associate professor in political economy and China expert at the University of California San Diego to the BBC. Local government did not step in.
The Chinese government tries to curtail irrational investments, but domestic real estate is certainly not at the hackblock, says real estate expert Sam Crispin in Knowledge GKGSB. The government cannot afford to kill the goose laying golden eggs, he says.
After record-breaking Chinese investments in 2016, the Chinese government started to pull their financial reins, ahead of a major political decision making conference this Autumn. For investors reading political tea leaves has become as important as analyzing the stock markets, says business analyst Shaun Rein in the South China Morning Post.
The sudden US$9.3 bn restructuring of the Dalian Wanda deals left many observers flabbergasted. Most companies in China simply do not have the experience to execute this kind of large deals, says business analyst Ben Cavender to the BBC.
China is bringing more of its private companies to heel, both domestically and their international investments. Peking University accounting professor Paul Gillis sees it as an effort by president Xi Jinping to consolidate its power, he tells the VOA.
The scandal that rocked the once-famous private Minsheng bank has put the question of the role of the government towards the banking system. Bailing out banks create more problems than it solves, says financial analyst Victor Shih to the New York Times.