Category Archives: debts

Devaluation yuan pondered amid trade war exchanges – Victor Shih

China’s financial institutions ponder on the pros and cons of a currency devaluation as the effects of the trade war with the US start to kick in. While devaluation is on the agenda, it would be a tricky road, says financial analyst Victor Shih, author of Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation, at CapitalWatch.

Dropping China stocks are bad news – Sara Hsu

Investors in Chinese equity know from the past they have put their money on a roller-coaster. But the recent drop is very rough, and – says financial analyst Sara Hsu to the ChinaUSFocus, the drop is worse because much stock has been used as collateral for loans.

China’s banking system: walking on a tightrope – Sara Hsu

China’s financial authorities try to manage shadow banking, corporate leveraging and now also a heated trade war. Financial analyst Sara Hsu explains how the country’s banks are walking a scary tightrope, at the EastAsiaForum.

China can outlast the US in an economic war – Arthur Kroeber

Media are looking for winners and losers in the trade war between China and the US, and while damage can be inflicted in the short run, China is going to outlast an economic war with the US, says renowned economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know to Money Week.

One Belt, One Road: a debt trap? – Andy Mok

Western media have been portraying China’s massive investment program One Belt, One Road (OBOR) or Belt Road Initiative (BRI) as a colonial trick to put developing countries into debt, and then seize their assets. Business analyst Andy Mok sees debt problems as a normal business risk in highly complicated investments on infrastructure, he tells at the state-owned CGTN.

Why the trade talks will lead nowhere – Arthur Kroeber

The Trump team has started trade talks in Beijing, but it is very unlikely they will get anywhere, says economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know®, in CBS. The internal divisions in the US team are only a part of the problems to gain ground, he says.

China’s carefully measured response to Trump’s trade war – Arthur Kroeber

Unlike the bully-like approach of Donald Trump, China has sent a carefully calibrated messages, trying to avoid a devastating trade war, says renowned economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know® to the South China Morning Post and the Washington Post. China has more cards up its sleeves, he suggests.

Liu He: supporter of Xi’s state-driven economic agenda – Arthur Kroeber

The appointment of Liu He as president Xi Jinping’s economic top man has started speculations on his political direction, including a restart of reforms. We should not expect Liu to divert too much from the state-driven economic agenda Xi has already set out in the past few years, says leading economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know® to the New York Times.

Stimulus will remain in China’s toolbox – Victor Shih

China’s government seems eager to control debts, even when it means a mitigation of economic growth. But the financial stimulus will remain a trusted tool in the country’s financial toolbox, in case growth drops too far, says financial analyst Victor Shih at the Deutsche Welle

Local debts keep rising, but will not cause financial crises – Victor Shih

China faces a financial dilemma, as it wants economic growth, and forces local governments to borrow more money, against the wishes of the central government, says financial and political analyst Victor Shih in the CeMEAS Conversations on China’s economic future. But external threats to the country’s stability do exist, he adds.