Former trade negotiator Harry Broadman warns at Bloomberg the trade war is far from over despite positive sounds on the phase 1 agreement. US President Donald Trump seems more engaged in winning the 2020 presidential elections than ending the trade war. And he introduces agricultural deals for the US that makes the country look more Chinese than ever.
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Trade negotiations between the US and China have moved away from substantial issues, as the Trump administration is using the ongoing trade war as a tool to win the presidential elections in the US 2020, says Harry Broadman, former top trade and economic adviser to Presidents George H.W. Bush and Bill Clinton to CNBC.
The phase-1 trade deal between China and the US is a non-deal paving the way out of an untenable situation, says leading economist Arthur Kroeber in Money Week.
One of the major global initiatives by China was the massive Belt and Road Initiative, reviving the old silk roads. In May 2017 a major international conference showed what our experts were already expecting: now all roads lead to China. Even countries who suffered from difficult relations with China, including both Koreas, appeared in Beijing.Larger than the former Marshall Plan after the Second World War, OBOR is going to redefine global trade.
Business analyst Shaun Rein has always been a China-bull, but even he is now advising to put China investments on hold, he tells in the Press Democrat, after Houston Rockets General Manager Daryl Morey was the latest to get into hot air.
The trade war between China and the US is taking another casualty, says super-investor Jim Rogers: the US dollar. He will no longer bet on the US currency, as a downturn is nearing fast in a few years’ time, he tells according to News Max. Although for gamblers, buying US dollars for the short run might be an opportunity. In the long run he will switch to China’s renminbi or gold.
China’s currency, the yuan, is on a downward track, not because of government action, but is a market reaction on the US tariffs on Chinese goods, says investment guru Jim Rogers. Washington has to blame itself for the weakening yuan, he tells in the Stocknewsbrief.com.
The effects of a slowdown in China’s economy on foreign companies might vary, on the industry they are working in and on their size, says Shanghai-based business analyst Ben Cavender to Reuters. Smaller firms might close down, while larger ones try to diversify over time, he adds.
Tarifs imposed in the US-China trade war focus on goods, but US politicians missed that most of the world trade consists of services, writes international trade expert Harry Broadman in the Gulf News. What has happened to Trump and his advisors over the past twenty years?
If some US politicians hope the trade war between China and the US might undermine Xi Jinping’s domestic power base, they are on the wrong track, says political analyst Victor Shih at US-China Economic and Security Review Commission hearings at the US Congress, according to the South China Morning Post.