Category Archives: People’s Bank of China

Why a currency deal might be bad for China – Arthur Kroeber

China is pondering to throw in a currency deal in its trade negotiations with the US, maintaining the value of the Renminbi, to pacify the doves in the White House. But that might be a wrong idea, say analysts like economist Arthur Kroeber, who point at Japan. Japan agreed to a currency deal in 1985 as has paid for it dearly, writes the South China Morning Post.

P2P boom has ended and will consolidate more – Sara Hsu

P2P lending used to be one of the darlings of the financial industry in China, but those days are over, describes financial analyst Sara Hsu in a thorough overview of the developments at SupChina. More consolidation of the industry is expected, she adds.

Slowdown and reducing debts go hand in hand – Jim Rogers

China’s economy is going through a reduced growth and, says investor Jim Rogers, that might be an excellent idea as the country has to bring back its debts, he says on his weblog. ‘China’s economy is slowing, fortunately for China and fortunately for the world.”

How China manages its growing bad loans – Sara Hsu

China’s bad loans are increasing, but the country’s financial authorities have been trying to crack down on this source of financial stability. How are those efforts faring now China is suffering from a relative drop in economic growth. Financial analyst Sara Hsu discusses the dilemma’s the authorities are facing especially now the trade war is ongoing.

Devaluation yuan pondered amid trade war exchanges – Victor Shih

China’s financial institutions ponder on the pros and cons of a currency devaluation as the effects of the trade war with the US start to kick in. While devaluation is on the agenda, it would be a tricky road, says financial analyst Victor Shih, author of Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation, at CapitalWatch.

Currency devaluation: a tricky way to fight the trade war – Victor Shih

Devaluating the Chinese Yuan can be an attractive, but also dangerous way for China to deal with the effect of the ongoing trade war, says financial and political analyst Victor Shih, author of Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation to Reuters. ” It is likely that corruption is returning, which will undermine Chinese capital control measures.”

China’s banking system: walking on a tightrope – Sara Hsu

China’s financial authorities try to manage shadow banking, corporate leveraging and now also a heated trade war. Financial analyst Sara Hsu explains how the country’s banks are walking a scary tightrope, at the EastAsiaForum.

How the central bank dresses up its figures – Victor Shih

China’s central bank PBOC is dressing up its figures. Financial analyst Victor Shih, author of Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation, has for Bloomberg a look at…

Why China will not sell off its US treasuries – Arthur Kroeber

More than once selling US bonds in the hands of China has been suggested as a powerful tool in the trade war with the US. But selling those treasuries does not make sense, says economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know® in the South China Morning Post.

Why the central bank might start printing money again – Victor Shih

We have seen this before, says financial analyst Victor Shih about the efforts by the financial authorities in China to reduce debts. In 2014 they tried the same, and in 2015, 2016 the PBOC, China’s central bank, started to print money again. When economic growth comes under a certain level, that will happen again, he tells Bloomberg.