The ´New Normal´ it is called, the lower (but still considerable) economic growth China is displaying. High growth is over, says political analyst Victor Shih in the Hellenic Shipping News. Maintaining high growth is just too expensive, he argues.
While the central government is eager to get foreign investors into its bond markets, they should care very careful in doing to, says Victor Shih, assistant professor political science, UC San Diego and leading author on the relation between political and financial factions in China, in Bloomberg.
Things look not well for China´s economy, say a range of economists to Bloomberg. They include political and financial analyst Victor Shih, who fear the lack of income might force China into even larger debts, as it wants the economy to keep on humming.
China´s leaders are getting material together to prepare their next 5-year plan, that will be finalized at the National People´s Congress in 2016. Political analyst Victor Shih tries to differentiate between the window dressing and the real issues at Bloomberg.
The central government wrongly used the upswing in stock markets as a proxy for real reforms, says associate professor Victor Shih in the Washington Post. Until those shares came down and created mayhem in China and globally. “”In dictatorships, when things are going well, nobody wants to end the party.”
Debts are high on the agenda of the central and local governments, as local resources to pay debts of get capital for investments diminish, tells associate-professor Victor Shih in Bloomberg. The efforts of the central government to relieve local governments from debts might not help everybody.
One of the reasons for China to drop the value of its currency was to get into line with the IMF requirements to become a global reserve currency. Much of the country´s actions is about prestige, says associate professor Victor Shih at WFDD.