China’s economy is more and more controlled by the state, but the country is also pledging more openness. Political analyst Victor Shih looks at CNBC whether China can deal with this conundrum, or not. China’s agenda and ambitions are clear, but now how they might work out, he says.
Hong Kong has been taken over silently by mainland China in financial terms already before the handover by the UK in 1997, says financial analyst Victor Shih to AFP. But what has gone wrong is the lack of tools to control that take-over, especially when Xi Jinping defined corruption as the major evil to be addressed, Shih says.
Retiring central banker Zhou Xiaochuan called this week for the liberalization of China’s currency, the Yuan. But conservative forces might find this step from the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) a step too far, says financial expert Victor Shih to Bloomberg.
Financial scams are emerging in China on an epidemic scale. Rising costs of living have enticed many to join these scams, says Victor Shih, associate professor in political economy and China expert at the University of California San Diego to the BBC. Local government did not step in.
Making sense out of China has always been challenging, although the questions companies and people have to ask themselves change permanently. From a rather uregulated booming economy, now dealing we a tsunami of new rules, anti-corruption and a – relatively – slowing economy changes the strategic questions you have to deal with And while everybody has an opinion, at the China Speakers Bureau we are happy to have a range of expert opinions on China´s strategic challenges. We have a selection here (but you can always ask for more).
Pressure is up on US president Trump to act against China in trade issues. Trump has been avoiding harsh action up to now, and political analyst Victor Shih warns that with a major political conference ahead, moderation will not be high on the country’s agenda, he tells Bloomberg.
HNA was the last in a row of Chinese conglomerates, losing support from their most important financial backers. In the slipstream details emerged about the hidden ownership structure behind HNA. But most of these ownership relations remain opaque says political analyst Victor Shih to Fortune.
China’s leadership is setting a new economic agenda halfway July, and much of the measures focus on the reduction on risk, even if – says political scientist Victor Shih at Bloomberg – that means announced financial reforms will be stalled.
President Xi Jinping’s position at the helm of his country seems pretty secure, says political analyst Victor Shih, author of Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation to the Economist. Although, his support at the next layer in the Party seems pretty meagre, he adds.