Not being predictable has been US-president Donald Trump’s trademark on foreign policy. When it comes to China, economist Arthur Kroeber prefers to phrase it in another way. “US policy towards China in both security and economic terms remains confused and directionless,” he says in the South China Morning Post.
Category Archives: economy
China annual political meetings passed without any great upheaval, but not all is well for president Xi Jinping, writes veteran journalist Ian Johnson, author of The Souls of China: The Return of Religion After Mao in the New York Review of Book. No legal reforms, no successor, and then there is the economy.
Financial authorities in Beijing are playing with the idea to give tech firms a faster-track IPO in China, says accounting professor Paul Gillis at his weblog. Taking away some of the cumbersome restrictions for IPO’s in China might lead to the expected ban of variable interest entity or VIE’s, a side-track allowing Chinese firms to list in the US, he suggests.
China´s first tier cities seem to be getting out of breath, while second and third-tier cities blossom. Business analyst Shaun Rein has been predicting the shift already for a long time, he tells the South China Morning Post. The rising prosperity of lower-tier cities may boost tourism to cheaper destinations like the Philippines and Thailand, he adds.
At the end of 2016 a sharp decline in outbound investments by China became clear as financial restrictions kicked in. Business analyst Shaun Rein expects the curtailing measures to last for at least six months into 2017, he tells the South China Morning Post.
Surveys by the Hurun China Rich List not only show that China´s affluent have spent more money in 2016, but increasingly do to while traveling, says Hurun chairman Rupert Hoogewerf in the Luxury Daily. The number of days per month they travel went up again.
While Trump still has to make his mark on international relations, fears rise that he might disrupt international order in a gross way. Leading economist Arthur Kroeber says it might trigger off international anarchy where China will be unwilling to step into the void, according to the Globe&Mail.
For years the trend seemed irreversible: China´s rich were leaving the motherland in troves. But in 2017 the trend has reversed, says Hurun China rich list composer Rupert Hoogewerf to the South China Morning Post. This year could be a turning point, Hoogewerf says about the findings in the Hurun Chinese Luxury Consumer Survey 2017.